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Concern for 2nd wave.
There is growing concern about the outbreak of coronavirus in the country with many scientists sounding the alarm that we are one step away from the second wave of the pandemic, if we have not already entered it.
Experts point out that if the measures that have already been imposed are not observed and new ones are not implemented – mainly in terms of preventing synchronization – the situation may get out of control and the health system may start to be pressured, while it is unknown how long it will last.
Data.
With these data and as yesterday (8/8) more than 150 cases were announced for the third consecutive day, the government is considering taking new restrictive measures, as it turns out that the mandatory use of a mask indoors is not enough to stop the coronavirus resurgence.
The most common scenarios for the measures that are expected to be decided at this stage are local lockdown, “padlocks” on large entertainment venues or beach bars, new restrictions on weddings, christenings and funerals, ban on receptions, as well as the resumption of SMS and therefore “block” on circulation”.
The course of the epidemiological data in the next few hours will judge on the one hand the degree of restrictions and on the other hand the geographical extent of the new measures, which may be announced tomorrow Monday (10/8), after the vertical increase of patients.
Shock research at University of Thaessaloniki.
“Shock” research of the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, published by “Vima tis Kyriakis”, shows that if the measures are not observed, the cases at the end of August will launch daily at 260, at the end of September at 433, while at the end of October they will reach 573 per day. It is a research based on mathematical models.
For his part, infectious disease professor Nikos Sypsas, speaking last night (8/8) to SKAI, stated that the R0 of the pandemic has now exceeded 1.
“The reproductive index of the epidemic, the famous RT, the RO, as we used to say, since July 20 has exceeded 1. It is now a little over 1.
I imagine that in the updated data of the last week it will remain at the same levels,” he said. Mr. Sypsas explaining that this means that the pandemic acquires a potential in the sense that an infected person can infect more than 1 fellow human being around.
“This means that the epidemic can take on exponential proportions, we can have a multiplication of cases every day if we do not take timely measures,” he said. According to the professor, the above definitely means that we are close to a new wave of the pandemic.
A multiplication of new cases.
“We can have a multiplication of cases every day, there is this dynamic. If this happens, we will automatically have more intubations, the system will be pressured, so we will officially have the second wave in Greece “, he underlined and added that” We have a very significant outbreak of the epidemic in Greece, a heavy epidemiological burden that mainly affects large urban centers but unfortunately we also see dispersion throughout Greece “.
Only the tip of the iceberg.
Also, the assessment that we are one step ahead of the uncontrolled spread of the coronavirus in our country was expressed by the professor of microbiology Alkiviadis Vatopoulos, speaking last night (8/8) in the main news bulletin of Alpha.
The professor pointed out that the reported cases are only the tip of the iceberg, as there are many asymptomatic or mild symptoms, which are not tested, while he pointed out the widespread spread of the coronavirus.
In the same vein, Elias Mosialos, a professor at the London School of Economics, wrote on Facebook that the actual number of coronavirus cases in Greece could be 8 to 10 times higher.
Source and full story in Greek click on https://www.sofokleousin.gr/
